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The Trump administration has stated a two-month deadline for signing a new agreement with Iran regarding its ongoing nuclear program. As of Monday, the Islamic Republic has about a month and a half to sign a pact that overtly states it is giving up its nuclear ambitions.
The sense of panic in Tehran is palpable, as the Ayatollah regime is under the impression that either Israel or the United States are about to send their bombers over Iranian skies at any minute, possibly explaining the short video clip the Iranians released, showcasing their extensive missile array, located in subterranean tunnels, nestled deep within mountains.
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U.S. President Donald Trump has increased the pressure on Iran, where officials have agreed to indirect negotiations, mediated by the small gulf nation of Oman. With the "snapback" mechanism in place—an emergency brake built into the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action which basically allows for the swift reinstatement of United Nations sanctions against Iran if it violates its nuclear commitments—Trump is hoping for swift Iranian capitulation.
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Trump threatens Iran
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In a subtle yet adamant show of force designed to ramp up the pressure on the Islamic Republic, Trump has sent strategic bombers to Diego Garcia island, located south of India. Additionally, an aircraft carrier has been deployed in the Persian gulf. "If they don’t make a deal, there will be bombing," he said in a recent interview.
While there are some who say that the pressure is working, others, especially in Israel, are still doubtful Iran will completely abandon all nuclear ambitions based on Trump's say-so. The next few months are shaping up to be a battle of wills between Trump and Khamenei.
Famously, Teddy Roosevelt's philosophy was "speak softly but carry a big stick." Trump's approach is more "carry a big stick and wave it relentlessly," giving Israel the impression that with Trump things in the Middle East won't be business as usual, with a massive military endeavor against Iran always just one decision away.
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Ron Dermer is part of Israeli consultations with the Trump administration
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Constant U.S.-Israeli consultations, which include government minister Ron Dermer, are underway on the issue, and Israel believes the hourglass is winding down toward an attack on Iran, with or without U.S. assistance. This is partially fueled by estimates that with the crumbling of Hezbollah and constant attacks on the Houthis, leaving it devoid of tentacles, Iran will be driven to desperation, necessitating a preemptive strike.